I went 3-3 at the Oza, so I could have stayed the same, or I could have had a slight decrease or a slight increase in my rating. As it turned up my rating improved slightly. Actually it is so slight that it is pretty much like staying the same.
Before the tournament my rating was -11.52063 with a sigma of 0.31384.
After the tournament my rating was -11.46308 with a sigma of 0.28265.
I experienced a ratings improvement of 0.05755 points and my sigma went down by 0.03119.
I don't think that going 3-2 at the NJ Open will be enough to break into the 10 kyu range, and I am not comfortable with a self promotion to 9 kyu. Since the AGA is not currently allowing self promotions of one rank it looks as if it's going to be a tough battle to 10k.